BECAUSE IDEAS HAVE POWER POTENTIAL

BECAUSE IDEAS HAVE POWER POTENTIAL
Asking the right questions now for answers in the future

Monday, January 16, 2012

Fearless Forecast on the Corona Impeachment Trial

This is going to last longer than expected.

The win solution could have been that Corona resign before end January. Then everything goes back to normalcy. This could have happened with a bombastic opening - a confidence-building speech for the public to be ensured that this process is a sure win. As it was executed though, it looks like the fight will be neck to neck and the people at the losing end of this tedious process.

If the trial drags on to February, Corona would be on a winning streak. The people would be losing every minute and resources used for this trial. Without an angry civil society on the side of prosecution and an apathetic public, Corona gains ground. It is less likely that the Senate (the impeachment court) gathers the votes needed to convict him.

If Corona is not convicted and removed from office, GMA will surely ride the wave of victory and go scott-free re the case of plunder. And whatever manipulation Corona makes in favor of GMA will not be ripe for another accountability mechanism because of the 1 year prohibition. And of course the political configuration changes in 2013. PNoy and allies will not win the elections and likely, the "return of the comeback" shall happen. This is not looking well.

So yes, if the gameplan is to pressure Corona to resign, I'm in. The alternative is rather scary.

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